2018 Full-Year Poverty Statistics among Children in BARMM
More than half of the children in BARMM belong to poor families
About 68.2 percent of the children or individuals below 18 years old in BARMM belong to poor families in 2018. This translates to 1,293.4 thousand children who belong to a family with per capita income that is less than the per capita poverty threshold of PhP27,715 during this period. Poverty threshold is the minimum amount needed to meet an individual’s basic food and non-food needs.
The proportion of poor children in BARMM in 2018 is 0.3 percentage point lower than in 2015. BARMM has the highest poverty incidence among children in the entire country. It is followed by Region VIII, Region IX and Caraga with corresponding poverty rates of 40.0 percent, 39.9 percent and 39.8 percent.
Proportion of food poor children in BARMM increased in 2018
BARMM posted a 35.6 percent subsistence incidence among children in 2018. This is 3.6 percent higher than the estimate in 2015. This is equivalent to 674.4 thousand children. This implies that 35.6 percent of children in BARMM belong to food poor families whose per capita income is less than the food threshold. The food threshold in 2018 is PhP19,444. This is the minimum amount needed by an individual to meet his or her basic food needs.
BARMM posted a 30.2 percent subsistence incidence among women in 2018. This is 3.8 percent higher than the estimate in 2015. This translates to 614.9 thousand women in the region. BARMM’s annual per capita food threshold during this period was recorded at PhP19,557.
The region recorded the highest subsistence incidence among children in the country in 2018. This was followed by Region IX with 16.3 percent, Region XII with 15.7 percent and Region VIII with 14.3 subsistence incidence.
NOTE: All regional estimates discussed in this article is exclusive for the original ARMM territory only. ARMM legally does not exist as of writing, thus the term BARMM is used to avoid confusion among the readers.
The 2018 estimates were updates following the availability of the final 2018 Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES), which now includes the new urban-rural classification based on the results of the 2015 Census of Population (POPCEN 2015), in addition to other changes that were made. To ensure consistency, the 2015 estimates were also updated using 2015 FIES with the new urban-rural classifications from the POPCEN 2015.
Estimation of Official Poverty Statistics of the Philippines
- Section 3 of Republic Act 8425 of 1997 (Social Reform & Poverty Alleviation Act) defines the poor as individuals and families whose income fall below the poverty threshold as defined by the NEDA and/or cannot afford in a sustained manner to provide their minimum basic needs of food, health, education, housing and other essential amenities of life.
- Executive Order 352 - Designation of Statistical Activities that will generate critical data for decision-making of the government and the private sector issued on July 1, 1996 (with regular updates from time to time).
|Development of the official poverty estimation METHODOLOGY||Technical Committee on Poverty Statistics|
|Compilation and estimation of the official poverty statistics||PSA Technical Staff|
PSA Board Resolution No. 1, Series of 2017-171 - Approving the Refinements in the Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
Major Sources of Data Inputs
|Data Needed||Agency/Group Responsible|
|Provincial food bundles – nutritionally adequate (satisfying 100% Recommended Energy and Nutrient Intake for Energy and Protein, and 80% for vitamins and other nutrients)||Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI)|
||Price Survey, PSA|
|Income (of families/per capita)||Family Income and Expenditure Survey, PSA|
Uses of Poverty Statistics
- Poverty thresholds are used by the DSWD as input in the conduct of the National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTSPR)
- Used in the SDG monitoring
- Used by NEDA for planning and in PDP monitoring
- Used by the National Wages and Productivity Commission as one of the references in minimum wage determination
Refinements of the Official Poverty Estimation Methodology
The first official methodology for the poverty assessment in the Philippines was adopted in 1987. Three major refinements in the official methodology for measuring poverty have been made – in 1992, 2003/2005/2006 and 2011.
One major feature of the first refinement in 1992 was the exclusion of alcohol, tobacco, recreation, durable furniture and equipment as well as other miscellaneous expenditures in the list of basic non-food requirements considered in the determination of the poverty line/threshold. Poverty line/threshold refers to the minimum income/expenditure required to meet the basic food and non-food requirements.
In 2003, another improvement was introduced in recognition of the need for poverty estimates with lower levels of disaggregation, specifically at the provincial level. Using the same regional food bundles in the 1987 and 1992 methodologies developed by the Food and Nutrition Research Institute (FNRI), provincial food thresholds were generated using actual provincial prices collected by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA).
The latest refinements in the official poverty estimation methodology were approved through the PSA Board Resolution No. 1, Series of 2017-171, Approving the Refinements in the Official Poverty Estimation Methodology, to address some issues/concerns raised on the estimation of food and poverty thresholds, incidence and other measures of poverty, the relevance of official poverty statistics and the comparability of poverty estimates across space and over time. The refinements were based on the recommendations of the Technical Committee on Poverty Statistics (TC PovStat), the group responsible for the development/formulation of the official poverty estimation methodology.
One of the major issues addressed in the latest estimates is the comparability of the poverty estimates across space and over time. It has been argued by many poverty analysts that it is important that the yardsticks be consistent across provinces for the estimates to be valid in targeting government beneficiaries.
A. Unit of Measure
- Food threshold – in current pesos (usually, per capita per year)
- Subsistence incidence – in percent for a reference year
- Poverty threshold – in current pesos (usually, per capita per year)
- Poverty incidence – in percent for a reference year
- Food threshold – national and regional and provincial (with urban/rural)
- Subsistence incidence – national, regional, provincial, HUC
- Poverty threshold - national and regional and provincial (with urban/rural)
- Poverty incidence - national, regional, provincial, HUC
- Other measures of poverty (poverty gap, income gap, severity of poverty) - national, regional, provincial, HUC
C. Estimation and Compilation Methodology
1. Computation of Food Threshold
- Provincial food bundle (100% adequate for energy and protein and 80% adequate for vitamins and minerals) developed by the FNRI
- Agricultural commodities retail and farm gate price data, by province, PSA
- Non-agricultural commodities retail price data, by province, PSA
- Proportion of food bought and own-produced components: Food Consumption Survey, FNRI
- Each of the ingredients in the food bundle is priced using the available price data
- The urban and rural food thresholds are computed, each with bought and own-produced components.
- The provincial urban/rural annual per capita food threshold is computed as: FT = (cost per capita of the one-day food bundle) x (30.4 days/month) x 12 month
2. Computation of Subsistence Incidence
- Given the food threshold, the subsistence incidence is computed as:
F = number of families (individuals) with per capita annual income less than the per capita annual food threshold/line
n = total number of families (individuals)
3. Computation of Poverty Thresholds
- Average FE/TBE of 2000, 2003, 2006 and 2009 FIES= 0.6983
- Urban/Rural Food thresholds
- The urban/rural provincial poverty threshold was computed by dividing the food threshold with the FE/TBE ratio.
- FE = actual food expenditure of families within the +/-ten percentile band of the subsistence incidence among families
- TBE = total basic expenditure of families within the +/- ten percentile band of the subsistence incidence among families.
TBE is an aggregate of expenditures on
- clothing and footwear;
- fuel; light and water;
- housing maintenance and other minor repairs;
- rental or occupied dwelling units;
- medical care;
- transportation and communications;
- non-durable furnishing; household operations and personal care and effects
However, instead of generating the FE/TBE ratio every FIES year, the average of the nationally determined FE/TBE ratio from the 2000, 2003, 2006 and 2009 FIES shall be used for twelve (12) years starting 2009 to ensure consistency across space and over time. This is equivalent to 0.6983.
4. Computation of Poverty Incidence
- Given the poverty threshold, the poverty incidence is computed as:
Q = number of families (individuals) with per capita annual income less than the per capita poverty threshold/line
n = total number of families (individuals)
- Poverty incidence among children refers to the proportion of children (belonging to poor families) with per capita income less than the per capita poverty threshold to the total number of children.