BARMM Consumer Price Index (Formerly ARMM) as of March 2020
Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an indicator of the changes in the average retail prices of fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year. BARMM recorded a CPI of 129.0 in March 2020. The region’s CPI is the highest in the entire country during this period.
Figure 2 shows that commodity groups of Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco, Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages, and Restaurant and Miscellaneous Goods and Services have the highest corresponding CPIs of 174.8, 135.2 and 129.1 in March 2020. On the other hand, Communication, Transport, and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels have the lowest CPIs of 102.7, 102.7, and 115.7, respectively.
The Province of Sulu recorded the highest CPI in the region in March 2020 at 138.5, as shown in Figure 3. This was followed by Basilan and Lanao del Sur with CPIs of 132.5 and 126.3, respectively. Cotabato City has the lowest CPIs among the provinces with 124.8.
Figure 4 shows that the inflation rate of BARMM decelerated to 2.3 percent in March 2020 from the 2.1 percent inflation rate in March 2019. This implies that the average retail prices of goods and services in the market basket in BARMM increased by 2.3 percent in March 2020 compared to the prices in March 2019.
Commodity groups of Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco, Restaurant and Miscellaneous Goods and Services and Health have the highest inflation rates in March 2020 recorded at 7.4 percent, 4.5 percent, and 4.0 percent, respectively. On the other hand, commodity groups of Education, Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Furnishing, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House have the lowest corresponding inflation rates of 1.8 percent, 1.9 percent, and 2.5 percent; while the average prices in Transport and Communication decreased by 1.3 percent and 0.6 percent in March 2020, respectively (see Figure 5).
It is shown in Figure 6 that Sulu has the highest inflation rate which is 5.0 percent in March 2020. This is followed by Basilan and Tawi-Tawi with 2.3 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively. Maguindanao has the least inflation rate among the provinces with 0.7 percent.
Purchasing Power of Peso
Purchasing Power of Peso (PPP) is inversely related to inflation rate. Thus, as the inflation rate increases, PPP declines, as shown in Figure 7. In BARMM, PPP is at 0.78 as of March 2020. This is 1.27 percent lower than the PPP in March 2020. The 0.78 PPP implies that the Php1.00 in 2012, as the base year, values only Php0.78 in March 2020.
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The CPI is an indicator of the changes in the average retail prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year.
Uses of CPI
The CPI is most widely used in the calculation of the inflation rate and purchasing power of peso. It is a major statistical series used for economic analysis and as a monitoring indicator of government economic policy.
Computation of CPI
The computation of the CPI involves consideration of the following important points:
a. Base Period
The reference date or base period is the benchmark or reference date or period at which the index is taken as equal to 100.
b. Market Basket
A sample of the thousands of varieties of goods purchased for consumption and services availed by the households in the country selected to represent the composite price behavior of all goods and services purchased by consumers.
c. Weighting System
The weighting pattern uses the expenditures on various consumer items purchased by households as a proportion to total expenditure.
The formula used in computing the CPI is the weighted arithmetic mean of price relatives, the Laspeyre’s formula with a fixed base year period (2006) weights.
e. Geographic Coverage
CPI values are computed at the national, regional, and provincial levels, and for selected cities.
Inflation Rate is the rate of change of the CPI expressed in percent. Inflation is interpreted in terms of declining purchasing power of peso
Headline Inflation refers to the rate of change in the CPI, a measure of the average standard “basket” of goods and services consumed by a typical family.
Purchasing Power of Peso shows how much the peso in the base period is worth in the current period. It is computed as the reciprocal of the CPI for the period under review multiplied by 100
Note: The dataset used in the special release is exclusive for ARMM plus Cotabato City.