ARMM Consumer Price Index (As of February 2018)

April 17, 2018Special Release Ref No.: 2018-011

Consumer Price Index

Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities conducted by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) has generated a Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 175.6, as of February 2018 using 2006 as the base year. This implies that the cost of a basket of goods and services commonly purchased by a typical Filipino household in ARMM was at an average of Php175.6, as of February 2018. This is 6.4 percent higher than in February 2017 with CPI = 165.1 and 0.8 percent higher than in January 2018 with CPI = 174.2.

Table 1. Monthly Consumer Price Index for All Income Households in ARMM, by Commodity Group: February and January 2018 and 2017 (2006 = 100) 
Commodity Group February January
2018 2017 2018 2017
All Items 175.6 165.1 174.2 164.6
Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages 202.2 187.2 200.2 186.4
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 222.9 195.3 213.0 194.4
Clothing and Footwear 139.7 134.8 139.0 134.6
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels 135.1 132.9 136.5 132.2
Furnishing, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House 135.9 132.8 135.4 132.6
Health 157.8 153.6 157.0 152.9
Transport 118.7 117.0 117.8 118.3
Communication 100.1 97.8 100.0 97.8
Recreation and Culture 137.5 134.8 137.2 134.7
Education 172.1 170.6 172.1 170.6
Restaurant and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 150.8 145.1 149.6 144.7
Source of Basic Data: Philippine Statistics Authority, Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities for the Generation of CPI

Commodities under the groups of Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages had the highest corresponding CPIs of 222.9 and 202.2 in February 2018 respectively. These two commodity groups had CPIs higher than the total average CPI of all items in the region.

Figure 1. Consumer Price Index in ARMM, All Items, by Commodity Group:as of February 2018 (2006 = 100)
Source of Basic Data: Philippine Statistics Authority, Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities for the Generation of CPI

Inflation Rate

The year-on-year headline inflation rate in ARMM was at 6.4 percent in February 2018 (2006=100). This implies that the average price of basket of goods and services in ARMM increased by 6.4 percent between February 2017 and February 2018. Moreover, average price of basket of goods and services in the region increased by approximately 0.8 percent in February 2018 compared to the average price in the previous month.

Commodity groups of Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages have shown the most volatile annual prices in February 2018 with the inflation rates of 14.1 percent and 8.0 percent respectively. The Transport had the most rapidly changing average price between February 2018 and January 2018 with an increase of 166.7 percent.

Figure 2. Year-on-Year Headline Inflation Rate in ARMM, All Items: February 2017 – February 2018 (2006 = 100)
Source of Basic Data: Philippine Statistics Authority, Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities for the Generation of CPI
 
Table 2. Year-on-Year and Month-on-Month Headline Inflation Rate in ARMM, All Items by Commodity Group: January 2018 - February 2018 (2006 = 100)
Commodity Group Year-on-Year Month-on-Month
February 2018 January 2018 February 2018 January 2018
All Items 6.4 3.8 0.8 1.2
Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages 8.0 4.4 1.0 1.2
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 14.1 5.6 4.6 2.9
Clothing and Footwear 3.5 1.1 0.5 1.1
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels 1.7 4.3 -1.0 1.0
Furnishing, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.5
Health 2.7 2.3 0.5 0.5
Transport 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.3
Communication 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.3
Recreation and Culture 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.3
Education 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0
Restaurant and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 1.9 1.5 0.0 0.9
Source of Basic Data: Philippine Statistics Authority, Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities for the Generation of CPI

Purchasing Power of Peso

Purchasing Power of Peso (PPP) is inversely related to inflation rate. Thus, as the inflation rate increases, PPP declines. In ARMM, PPP decreased by 4.84 percent in 2017 and has been decreasing at an average rate of 5.18 percent annually between 1997 and 2017.

The PPP in 2017 was 0.59. This implies that the Php1.00 in 2006, as the base year, values only Php 0.59 in 2017 and was worth Php 1.72 in 1997.

Figure 3. Purchasing Power of Peso in ARMM: 1997 – 2017 (2006 = 100)
Source of Basic Data: Philippine Statistics Authority, Survey of Retail Prices of Commodities for the Generation of CPI
 
Technical Notes
 
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The CPI is an indicator of the changes in the average retail prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year.
 
Uses of CPI
The CPI is most widely used in the calculation of the inflation rate and purchasing power of peso. It is a major statistical series used for economic analysis and as a monitoring indicator of government economic policy.
 
Computation of CPI
The computation of the CPI involves consideration of the following important points: 
 
a. Base Period
The reference date or base period is the benchmark or reference date or period at which the index is taken as equal to 100.
 
b. Market Basket
A sample of the thousands of varieties of goods purchased for consumption and services availed by the households in the country selected to represent the composite price behavior of all goods and services purchased by consumers.
 
c. Weighting System
The weighting pattern uses the expenditures on various consumer items purchased by households as a proportion to total expenditure.
 
d. Formula
The formula used in computing the CPI is the weighted arithmetic mean of price relatives, the Laspeyre’s formula with a fixed base year period (2006) weights.
 
e. Geographic Coverage
CPI values are computed at the national, regional, and provincial levels, and for selected cities. 
 
Inflation Rate is the rate of change of the CPI expressed in percent. Inflation is interpreted in terms of declining purchasing power of peso.
 
Headline Inflation refers to the rate of change in the CPI, a measure of the average standard “basket” of goods and services consumed by a typical family.
 
Purchasing Power of Peso shows how much the peso in the base period is worth in the current period. It is computed as the reciprocal of the CPI for the period under review multiplied by 100.

 

(Sgd) HJI. RAZULDEN A. MANGELEN, MPA, MDM
(Chief Statistical Specialist)
Officer-in-Charge
RSSO-ARMM